After 'blue wave' in the US, migrant caravans from Central America start moving again
A procession of about 1,500 mainly Central American migrants departed on Wednesday from the far south of Mexico heading towards the United States. An important reason for their departure is the result of the US midterm elections, in which Democrats scored major victories, including in border states. In migrant communities, rumors are spreading, partly encouraged by human smugglers, that US asylum policy will change because of that election result.
This is a group of migrants who left in October from the Honduran city of San Pedro Sula, mainly fleeing the violence in their country and the lack of economic prospects. Along the way, migrants from countries such as El Salvador and Guatemala also joined.
Photos show that young children and babies are also part of the caravan. In southern Mexico, people from South America and Africa have also joined.
After arriving in Mexico, the caravan left after a few days from the city of Tapachula, in the state of Chiapas on the border with Guatemala. In recent years, Tapachula has grown into a place where Central American migrants on their way to the US have become stranded, and where, on the other hand, Mexicans and people from other countries have been deported by US authorities.
The phenomenon of migrant caravans is not new in Central America and Mexico. In attempts to reach the US, migrants often travel in large groups to be less vulnerable to criminal organizations that try to rob, kidnap, or recruit them along the way. Especially between 2021 and 2024, several migrant caravans departed annually towards the US.
With Donald Trump's return to the White House in 2025, US asylum policy became much stricter. Asylum applications were hardly processed anymore, and both Mexican authorities and US border police ensured that illegal crossings became virtually impossible. Migration flows towards the US therefore came to a halt. The illegal industry around migration, mainly human smugglers who earned large sums by bringing migrants to the US, also dried up.
A former coyote, as human smugglers are called in Mexico, told NOS that after the US midterm elections, migrants are being approached more actively by criminals to try crossing the border again. That the US government's migration policy remains strictly enforced despite the Democratic Party's victory is not mentioned by these recruiters.
Migrants trying to cross the border still face a very high chance of being arrested and deported before or after crossing. They can forget about the large sums of money, often thousands of dollars, they have paid to human smugglers.
What is Mexico doing?
For the migrant caravan that departed this Wednesday, the US border is still far away. Initially, they hope to reach Mexico City, over a thousand kilometers from Tapachula. There, the migrants hope that federal authorities can assist them during the last part towards the US.
Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum emphasized on Wednesday that her government is trying to convince migrants that US asylum policy has not changed. She also said that the group is being offered humanitarian aid and temporary residence permits.
Nevertheless, it is remarkable that the current caravan has been left alone by Mexican authorities. Partly under pressure from the Trump administration, Mexican police officers have often intervened in Chiapas in recent years when large groups of migrants formed intending to travel together to the US.
For example, another group of over a hundred migrants from Central America was stopped on Tuesday at the border between Guatemala and Mexico. Mexico seems to understand that if more migrant caravans form heading towards the US in the near future, the relationship with its northern neighbors will come under further pressure, while the humanitarian challenges for Mexico will increase.
Trump has meanwhile spoken out via social media, warning Mexico that it can expect additional tariffs if the caravan continues moving towards the border.