Berlin is almost certain to get a very left-wing administration. Election winner Die Linke reached a preliminary agreement this weekend with the Greens and the SPD. The leaders of those parties gave the green light to the plans last night, including the expropriation of large real estate companies.
This clears the way for Elif Eralp to become mayor of Berlin, as the first woman with a migration background and indeed the first Linke politician in that role.
Resistance to a left-wing city government is strong. Among others, Chancellor Merz wants to prevent a left-wing administration in Berlin.
Antisemitism
Die Linke are heavily under fire because of accusations of antisemitism. This mainly concerns criticism of Israel, which many German parties equate with hatred of Jews. "Jews are no longer safe in Berlin if Eralp becomes mayor," says the Jewish CDU Minister of Education, Karin Prien, who grew up in the Netherlands.
Eralp knows how damaging even the suspicion of antisemitism is. She therefore repeatedly states that she will protect the lives of Jewish Berliners. Radical members, such as Hannah Bruns, who refuses to condemn the Hamas attacks of October 7, 2023, and denies Israel's right to exist, are being expelled from the party.
The forming parties in Berlin have signed a declaration recognizing Israel's right to exist. This has led to division within Die Linke. "States have no right to exist, people do," said parliament member Vanessa Emde. The party leadership will decide today whether she will be expelled from the party.
In addition, Die Linke are attacked for alleged contacts with organized crime in Berlin. Members of the notorious Rimmo clan were at the Linke election party in the Neukölln district but were sent away during the evening. A Bundestag member from that district sent friendly chats to a Rimmo member. This politician has also been sidelined.
Nie wieder is jetzt
It is a balancing act for Eralp, because Die Linke won the elections partly due to their pro-Palestinian stance. However, the socialist party is willing to compromise on this point to secure the most important dossier: a radical change in housing policy.
That seems to be succeeding. The three parties have agreed to expropriate the five largest real estate companies. With a loan of up to 16 billion euros, 160,000 homes are to be brought into the hands of the state to stop rent increases. Smaller landlords will also face stricter regulations.
The CDU/CSU, supported by right-wing media such as Bild and Welt, is doing everything to prevent a left-wing administration. CSU leader Söder speaks of a return to communism and wants, like other state premiers, to stop funding Berlin. The CDU youth campaign with 'Nie wieder ist jetzt' (Never again is now), a slogan usually used against the AfD.
The parties mainly put pressure on the SPD and the Greens not to go into coalition with Die Linke. Chancellor Merz last week directly called on the SPD to reconsider. "Stop this," he repeated this weekend. Such interference by the chancellor in a local formation is considered a no-go, as is putting pressure on one's own coalition partner.
Within the national SPD, criticism is also increasing. At least twenty Bundestag members expressed opposition to the Berlin formation in a statement. Parliamentary leader Miersch says he has "considerable doubts" about Die Linke. Some prominent Greens also oppose cooperation with the Berlin Linke.
Others criticize the CDU for speaking out so strongly here while increasingly cooperating locally with the right-radical AfD. For example, in Heidenau, the CDU and AfD recently voted for a ban on Stolpersteine, Holocaust memorial plaques. Also, several CDU members most likely voted for an AfD member as parliamentary president in Saxony-Anhalt.
Blueprint
There is more at stake for the CDU/CSU. A successful coalition of Linke, Greens, and SPD could form a blueprint for a future national government. Due to the decline of the CDU/CSU in the polls, such a left-wing option is increasingly coming into view. In Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania, the popular SPD member Manuela Schwesig is already forming such a left-wing coalition. She is considered a future SPD leader and chancellor candidate.
Thus, the Berlin formation puts extra pressure on the national coalition, which already struggles with internal tensions and mistrust. At the same time, there is no stable alternative available in Berlin. A coalition of CDU, Greens, and SPD has a small majority, but left-wing Green politicians rule out this option.
If the federal government cannot prevent a left-wing administration in the capital, it can actively stall the state government. Federal legislation could, for example, prohibit the expropriation plan as well as proposed more generous asylum laws. Years of conflicts between the capital and the government loom.