British Prime Minister Burnham Meets Trump Immediately at First International Appearance
The new British Prime Minister Andy Burnham steps into the international political arena today and immediately meets perhaps the most unpredictable world leader of all: the American president Donald Trump.
The meeting takes place on the sidelines of the United Nations General Assembly in New York. This is a different setting than the notorious sessions in Trump's Oval Office, where Trump calmly answers unprepared questions from the press for half an hour during meetings with foreign leaders, while their political advisers have nervous breakdowns behind the scenes.
It is to Andy Burnham's advantage that this first meeting with Trump is short – less chance of disagreements – and that it is not particularly in the spotlight. Trump and Burnham both have a full diplomatic agenda in New York.
The two leaders will briefly address the press before or after a private conversation of about half an hour. Unlike his predecessor Keir Starmer, Andy Burnham will not pull a flattering letter from King Charles out of his pocket to appease Trump. Burnham is less of the 'velvet glove approach' and stated beforehand that he will not hesitate to "say what he thinks".
Also, Trump's powerful position on the world stage is eroding: the midterms are approaching and the war in Iran, especially its economic consequences, has damaged his popularity in America. Despite that, Burnham will have to act diplomatically smart: the US is an important trading partner for the UK and cooperation with the Americans is crucial for the British nuclear fleet.
Patriots for Ukraine
Burnham does not have much on his wish list except the request for more American Patriot interceptor missiles for Ukraine, to help the country through the winter. For Burnham, securing more military support from the US would be a concrete result of a successful meeting.
But when it comes to military cooperation, Trump may still be grumpy about the previous British government's decision not to allow the Americans to use British military bases at the start of the Iran war.
Burnham has since partially reversed that decision, allowing American airstrikes on Iran to be carried out from the British air force base RAF Fairford and the military base Diego Garcia in the Indian Ocean.
Another recurring theme Burnham must prepare for is Trump's criticism of European defense spending within NATO. The British have, after the US and Germany, the highest military budget within NATO and plan to spend 3.5 percent of GDP on defense by 2035. But the British are under pressure from Trump to come up with a clearer timeline.
Drill, baby, drill
Where Burnham will probably receive a pat on the back from Trump is his intention to approve new drilling permits for oil and gas in the North Sea.
Trump, who has an emotional bond with Scotland because his mother came from there and he owns several golf courses there, has in recent years never missed a chance to express his displeasure that for environmental reasons no drilling was allowed off the coast near Scottish Aberdeen.
The new Prime Minister Burnham has promised voters relief on the energy bill and can give the green light for new drilling in the North Sea at any moment.
Israel and the West Bank
The situation around Israel and Gaza is also sensitive. The British Foreign Secretary recently announced sanctions on Israeli settlements in the West Bank – despite threats from the White House. Trump's reaction so far has remained moderate.
Good impression
Burnham spent his first two months as the new prime minister mainly on domestic politics. His trip to New York is his first major international appearance and thus shifts attention to his foreign agenda, about which little is known so far.
Expectations are deliberately kept low by his team: a short meeting with the American president. Shaking hands, making a good impression, advocating more support for Ukraine, and trying to walk out without damage.
Any mistakes, provided they are not too catastrophic, will quickly fade into the background in media attention for the meeting later this week between Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping.