In the state elections in Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania, Alternative for Germany (AfD) appears to have become the largest party with 37 percent, according to an exit poll shared at 6:00 p.m. by broadcaster ARD. The radical right-wing party narrowly leads the Social Democrats (35.5 percent).
The CDU of Chancellor Merz has achieved its worst result ever in the state, and it is uncertain whether the party has passed the electoral threshold. Broadcaster ARD polls the CDU at 5.5 percent, broadcaster ZDF at 5 percent, exactly at the threshold.
In the German state of Berlin, Die Linke has become the largest party for the first time with 24.5 percent of the votes, according to exit polls. The party was engaged in a neck-and-neck race with the CDU (20 percent), the party of Merz which currently still provides the mayor of Berlin.
Left-wing majority
Despite the AfD victory in Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania, it is not immediately clear that the party will actually govern the state. Both in Berlin and Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania there is a majority for the SPD, Die Linke and the Greens.
Correspondent Germany Chiem Balduk:
"These exit polls are a very bitter pill for Merz. Because of the discussion about his position in recent days, a vote for the CDU was explicitly also a vote for Merz. That ultimately cost the party votes. Even among its own supporters, dissatisfaction with the chancellor is great.
The victory of the AfD in Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania and Die Linke in Berlin shows that the traditional people's parties are losing their power base. Until recently, the CDU/CSU and SPD routinely provided every state premier, but that time is over. This also affects governability in national politics, because the states participate in legislation through the Bundesrat."
Due to the preliminary results in both states, Merz's position as chancellor has become even more precarious. There is much dissatisfaction in the country about the economy and high prices. In a speech immediately after the exit polls, Merz nevertheless indicated that he wants to remain in office.
He called today's election result a "disaster" for his party. Merz says Germany faces enormous challenges and that he wants to take them on. "I take this responsibility upon myself because I want to help move our country forward."
According to Merz, reforms must be implemented due to the economic and political problems in the country, also as "poison against authoritarian tendencies in the world."
New blow
The defeat is a new blow for the CDU after the heavy loss in the state election in Saxony-Anhalt. Two weeks ago, Alternative for Germany (AfD) became the largest party there. It was the best result ever for the AfD, which in the East German state is classified as far-right by the security service.
Merz said after that election result that he was not considering resignation. "Giving up is not an option for me," he said in response to questions about his future as chancellor.
Correspondent Germany Chiem Balduk:
"Merz does not want to step down, that became clear from his speech. Now the question is whether the party will allow him to do so. Merz therefore faces a tough week ahead, in which he must regain the confidence of both the party leadership and the parliamentary group in the Bundestag. The downward trend of the CDU also endangers their future and will undoubtedly lead to unrest.
The CDU seems to have no answer to the rise of the AfD. Completely blocking cooperation did not work, but adopting party positions also did not. In any case, the person of Merz does not seem to be the answer. Election after election ends in defeat and further growth of the AfD. For that reason, this result will increase the pressure on him to make way for a more popular chancellor."
Today were the last German state elections of the year. In the state of Berlin, about 2.5 million eligible voters could go to the polls and in Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania about 1.3 million people.
In both states, people aged 16 and older were allowed to vote. The polling stations closed at 6:00 p.m., after which the German public broadcaster immediately released an exit poll.
What does a state do?
The sixteen states (Bundesländer) of Germany have many powers. Unlike a Dutch province, a German state is responsible for education, police legislation, and part of the taxes. A state has its own constitution, government, and security service.
Even on matters decided federally, such as asylum and foreign policy, the state governments have a say. They take seats in the Bundesrat, somewhat comparable to the Dutch Senate. The Bundesrat reviews legislation from the Bundestag (comparable to the House of Representatives) and can submit bills.