With just ten days to go until the Congressional elections, tension is rising in the United States. At stake is a majority in the two Chambers of Congress: the House of Representatives and the Senate. The Republicans are doing everything they can to maintain their majorities, and the Democrats in turn are going to great lengths to capture them. And they see a chance: in several states, polls suggest a surprise is possible.
These elections are the Democrats' opportunity to regain some power in Washington. Over the past two years, Donald Trump and his Republican party have left their mark on the country and the world with their majorities in Congress.
The president's actions are a reason for many people to vote in the midterm elections. Midterm elections are often seen as an indirect referendum on the president. The president's party almost never manages to keep control of Congress. With his low popularity ratings, these elections also come at a bad time for Trump.
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The Democrats hope to strike, but gaining control of both the House and the Senate is a challenge. Especially in the Senate, it is far from a sure race. The Democrats need to take seats from the Republicans in at least four states, including states where Trump won by more than 10 percentage points two years ago.
Texas from red to blue?
One of those states is Texas. There, the Democrats hope to have an ace up their sleeve with 37-year-old James Talarico to turn the always red Texas blue.
The former teacher tries to show that current politics is not for the ordinary Texan, that the division in politics is not "left or right, but top and bottom." The upper class earns too much and has too much power, is his message.
His opponent Ken Paxton is an example of that, according to Talarico. Paxton, who is supported by Trump, is the highest prosecutor in Texas and is haunted by scandals. He narrowly survived an impeachment procedure due to suspicions of corruption.
It does not help Paxton and his fellow Republicans that they see Donald Trump getting richer from the presidency. Although the American economy is growing and there are many investments in areas such as artificial intelligence, Americans feel the pain in their wallets. For example, Trump started the war with Iran, causing fuel prices to rise enormously.
Diesel is especially expensive, and that is particularly felt by farmers: their agricultural machines run on diesel. Partly for that reason, Republicans in 'red' states with a lot of agriculture, such as Kansas, Iowa, and Ohio, are suddenly vulnerable in these elections. The import tariffs that Trump introduced and the subsequent trade war with Canada do not help either. For many states, Canada is the most important export country.
What else are the elections about? Our correspondent explains it in this video:
The Republicans realize that it is all hands on deck. Trump is spending large sums of money to support Republican candidates under pressure, for example with extra TV spots. In addition, he and Vice President Vance travel separately across the country to enthuse voters.
This week, Trump flew to Kansas, South Carolina, Florida, Iowa, and North Carolina. He won those states easily before, but now even Trump sees it bleak there. For example, on stage in North Carolina, he accidentally admitted that the Democratic candidate would probably win a Senate seat. "And that is bizarre," he said. Republican candidate Michael Whatley had to hear that in the audience.
Democrats as a bogeyman
To mask those vulnerabilities, the Republicans try to portray their opponent as a radical party with far too liberal ideas. They create a 'woke' bogeyman for conservative voters. In addition, they suggest that if the Democrats gain power, the US will take a communist course.
This is especially evident in the tense Senate election in Michigan. There, the Republicans hope to defeat the progressive Democrat Abdul El-Sayed and thus take a seat from the Democrats. The Islamic El-Sayed is used as a scapegoat.
This goes hand in hand with personal, Islamophobic, and racist attacks. For example, El-Sayed is called a terrorist and a 'jihadist fool.' It shows that the Republicans shy away from no controversy and go to great lengths to keep the Senate.
The Democrats think they have a good chance of gaining one or two majorities in Congress, but it has happened more than once that a predicted mega-win did not materialize. The Republicans therefore hope that the results after November 3 will look rosier than the current polls.